Premier League betting II - 4 Nov 2017



Southampton - Burnley, booking points under 30 @ 2.70 (PaddyPower)

Lee Probert has been in charge in three Premier League games this season, showing only two yellow cards in those. Including other English leagues, he’s been averaging only 21.5 points, and when I include previous season to extend the sample, I get only 25 points in average. On the grim side, Southampton and Burnley, both are above 30 points in average (this plus previous season), Southampton 33 and Burnley 41. However, at offered 2.70 I feel there’s a fair bit of value.