Premier League and League One betting, 28 April

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Everton - Fulham

Everton are in a great run of results, despite not having much to play for. Four wins and two draws out of last six and one of those two draws was that one at Old Trafford. They have won last 18 competitive matches against Fulham at Goodison Park (since 1959)!

Fulham are typical home side, for years. This season, they’ve noticed only three wins away from Craven Cottage and all three came against bottom sides - Wigan, QPR and Bolton.

Backing home side to continue their great run.

Bet: Everton -0.5
Odd: 1.90 (188bet)
Stake: 9/10

Brentford - Sheff Wed

The Bees need three points to stay in contention for the play-off, but actually it’s hard to believe they could leapfrog three clubs and overcome the deficit of five points. Against top-six (beside Sheff Wed), they have drawn vs. MK Dons and lost other four. Brentford will have to cope without few first teamers, goalie and skipper among them.

Wednesday are in a photo finish against their neighbours, for a direct promotion spot. They’re in a great shape and have won nine out of last 12 in the league (three draws).

Taking away win and expect Wednesday to finish second eventually.

Bet: Sheff Wed -0.5

Odd: 1.96 (188bet)
Stake: 8/10
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Premier League betting, 21st April

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Bolton - Swansea 

The Trotters are first below the line, but with two games in hand. Two defeats in a row, Fulham and Newcastle, but before that defeated direct rivals from the bottom QPR and Blackburn.

Before demolishing Rovers, Swans had noticed four straight defeats with only one goal scoring. Rodgers said that he wanted to “involve” players in last four games. With their minds, they’re probably on summer holidays.

I think Bolton have enough strength for a crucial win, here. Rumoured appearance of Fabrice Muamba at the crowds, would only help their cause.

Bet: Bolton -0.25
Odd: 2.08 (Bet365)
Stake: 9/10

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Blackburn - Norwich

The Rovers are one point behind Bolton, have a streak of five consecutive defeats and this is do or die for them. Interesting is both clubs are best scorers outside the top six (Blackburn 45 goals, Norwich 47), while Blackburn have conceded the most goals in Premier.

Norwich have been showing no respect or calculation, they had three away defeats in a row, then defeated Spurs! The Canaries haven’t kept a single clean sheet away (15 games) and they haven’t defeated Blackburn in last eight matches (all competitions.

Blackburn have nothing to wait for, a point would send them down as well. I would predict an open game and goals on both sides.

Bet: Over 2.75
Odd: 1.90 (Bet365)
Stake: 9/10
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Champions League betting, Chelsea - Barcelona

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Nothing much to say about these teams, except there will be a decent amount of pressure (mainly on Chelsea’s side).

Referee of this game is Felix Brych, an interesting lad. In his 20 Champions League matches, he’s shown a decent inclination to yellow and red cards, averaging 41.5 points per a game (yellow - 10 points, red - 25). He had pretty quiet game Benfica - Twente (last this season), but in four previous games he showed 24 yellow and 4 reds (average of 85 points!). 

Big pressure, tight game and nervous referee forced me to go to the booking market.

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Bet: Over 45 booking points
Odd: 1.98 (BetVictor)
Stake: 7/10

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Saturday 14th April

No picks today...

Happy Easter to all Orthodox people worldwide and to my Red Star family.
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Premier League and League One betting, 9 Apr

Newcastle - Bolton

The Toon have four league wins on a trot, thankfully to Papiss Cisse who has scored 7 (seven) goals in previous four matches! If Chelsea don’t win at Fulham tonight, Newcastle will occupy a spot for Europa League.

Bolton are feeling the fire under the feet. They were outclassed by Fulham at home, in previous away game won against hopeless Wolves, but before that they had noticed four consecutive defeats on the road. All four were with two or three goals margin and without scoring. They also have one day less from preparation.

Backing Toon here, with asian handicap.

Bet: Newcastle -1ah

Odd: 1.88 (bet365)

Stake: 9/10

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Notts County - Yeovil Town

County are two points far from play-off and have been playing pretty well at home. Beside two defeats against Sheffiled clubs, they have five wins out of last seven matches. They made a confident win at Friday against Orient away, in a game where boss Keith Curle was even resting some of his key players.

Yeovil are in the middle of the table, they’re safe from both - relegation and play-off. They played (and won) against Rochdale at Saturday. They could be a tough nut to crack on the road, but against top sides only positive result came against MK Dons.

Beside quality, I expect motivation and fresher legs to decide a winner.

Bet: Notts County -0.75

Odd: 2.04 (Pinnacle)

Stake: 8/10

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Premier League and League One betting, 7 Apr

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Stoke - Wolverhampton

The Potters are having a decent season despite four league games without a win. They put a problematic display last week, at the defeat from Wigan and Pulis will probably demand reaction from players. They lost the reputation of typical home side, but still have very good record against bottom sides.

Wolves look hopeless at the bottom place. Since Terry Connor took the charge, they have taken only a point (from possible 18). They also have scored only five goals in those six matches, while conceded 19 (3.17 average)! Some calculations say they will need five more wins to stay in league. Hardly to imagine, since they have a total of five wins in past 31 matches!

Wolves did create some chances and scored lately, but their defending is still horrible. With Stoke’s physical domination, every attack, free or corner kick will be a problem. I am on home side.

Bet: Stoke -0.75
Odd: 1.98 (bet365)
Stake: 9/10

Oldham Athletic - Charlton Athletic

Oldham look pretty safe from relegation and their results look like the players are already on the summer holidays. They’ve collected seven defeats out of last nine matches in league and on last three haven’t even scored.

The Addicks are the far best away team in the league, with again far best defence. Recently they’ve brought on loan two very good players for this level, midfielders Lee Cook (QPR) and Dany N'Guessan (Millwall), who should bring more attacking power.

I am going to back Charlton with very good odds.

Bet: Charlton
Odd: 2.25 (Unibet)
Stake: 7/10

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