Blackpool - Nottingham Forest

Ian Holloway is doing a great job in Blackpool. Differently from previous seasons, club started to collect points on the road and with great home displays reached the play-off. They’ve lost at home just four times (of 23) with goal difference 46-22. There’s also visible a very good chemistry between him and the players (especially during the Christmas crisis when they won once of ten games). Now they’re not just in play-off, but have best momentum of these four teams, noticing 19 points from their last eight games. Statistic says team with the best momentum has gone up nine times out of 20. Striker DJ Campbell is a major doubt with an arm injury, while Hameur Bouazza is still out because of a groin problem.

Forest lost the 2nd spot thankfully to terrible record of the road. At the start of the season, they did not lose any of their first 13. Then defeat to arch-rivals Derby at Pride Park started a run of 10 away trips without a win! It’s fair to say though, some of them were with the mixed team like vs. Blackpool 1-3. Considering momentum, they’re ranked 4th with 12 points out of last eight games and statistically in just 3 occasions of 20, 4th ranked club progress to Premier. With their away shape it makes not so bright picture before visiting hot place like Bloomfield Road surely is. However, Billy Davies will recall several of his first-team regulars. Only doubt is skipper Paul McKenna who can play some part in this game first time after March. Forest are without a win in 11 away matches and have won only one of their last eight matches against the Seasiders.

Big factor here is also the pressure. Blackpool have done that was expected from them. Now they’re underdogs, feel relaxed and can give their maximum in the biggest games in their history. Oppositely, Forest have been prepared for Premier very long time. They lost 2nd spot, but they’re favorites in play-off which could be a rock tied around the neck. I give the advantage to the home team and expect them to win today. Bet is -0.25 ah, best offer is at 188bet 2.14. Also, 5.00 odd for Blackpool to reach Premier should be considered as a nice gamble.

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